US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar declines on quiet Monday

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading near 105, reflecting mild losses in Monday’s session. Headwinds from persistent inflation that remains uncomfortably high, as stated by Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, hold the US Dollar steady. That being said, the weak jobs report released last Friday gave clues that the US economy might be signaling that the cooling down the Fed needs to start cutting rates has begun. This may trigger further downside for the USD.

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

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EUR/USD edges lower to near 1.0750 due to the upward correction in the US Dollar

EUR/USD edges lower to near 1.0750 due to the upward correction in the US Dollar

EUR/USD snaps its four-day winning streak, trading around 1.0760 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. However, the Euro found support from higher-than-expected Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index data released on Monday.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD extends the rally above 1.2550, eyes on BoE rate decision

GBP/USD extends the rally above 1.2550, eyes on BoE rate decision

The GBP/USD pair trades in positive territory for the fifth consecutive day near 1.2560 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The weaker US Dollar provides some support to the major pair. The Bank of England interest rate decision on Thursday will be in the spotlight, with no change in rate expected. 

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY extends recovery above 154.00, focus on Fedspeak

USD/JPY extends recovery above 154.00, focus on Fedspeak

The USD/JPY pair trades on a stronger note around 154.10 on Tuesday during the Asian trading hours. The recovery of the pair is supported by the modest rebound of US Dollar to 105.10 after bouncing off three-week lows. 

USD/JPY News

Gold price extends its upside as markets react to downbeat jobs data

Gold price extends its upside as markets react to downbeat jobs data

Gold price extends its recovery on Tuesday. The uptick of the yellow metal is bolstered by the weaker US dollar after recent US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data boosted bets that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates later this year.

Gold News

Crude Oil continues to soften on Middle East ceasefire talks, WTI falls to $78

Crude Oil continues to soften on Middle East ceasefire talks, WTI falls to $78

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil futures fell on Monday after headlines of a possible ceasefire in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Palestinian Hamas. Crude Oil markets will also be keeping an eye out for weekly production updates from the US as output threatens to outpace demand.

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.